Lorenzo Carboni vs Francesco Maestrelli Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second serve performance has seen Maestrelli win 44.5% of points in the past six months, compared to Carboni's 40.23%. Could this give Maestrelli a slight advantage in this area?
• When returning opponents' second serves, Carboni slightly edges out Maestrelli, winning 47.33% to Maestrelli's 46.55%.
• Carboni is notably stronger on first serve returns, winning 32.99% of points versus Maestrelli's 27.46%.
• Under pressure, Maestrelli has saved 58.06% of breakpoints, compared to Carboni's 52.02%, potentially favoring Maestrelli in critical moments.
• Over the last year, Carboni has a higher match-winning percentage at 59.72%, compared to Maestrelli's 54.69%.
• Surface preferences show Maestrelli performs best on Clay with a 56% win rate, while Carboni excels on Hard surfaces at 68%.
• Last year's match levels indicate Carboni has had more success in lower-tier Futures/ITF $10K events, winning 64.52%, in contrast to Maestrelli's 51.06% in Challengers/ITF > $10K.
• In their head-to-head record, both have won 1 match out of their 2 encounters, with each winning 3 sets. Who has the mental edge?
• Matches between Maestrelli and Carboni average 2 hours and 42 minutes, suggesting tightly contested battles.
• In deciding sets, Maestrelli appears slightly more reliable, winning 65% against Carboni's 59% in the past 12 months.
• Both players have yet to face tiebreak pressure against each other, leaving this aspect open to interpretation.
• Maestrelli has faced slightly tougher opponents, with an average rank of 320.61, while Carboni's opponents averaged 367.94.
• Maestrelli has a better breakpoint save rate (58.06%) but Carboni converts more breakpoints at 40.49% compared to Maestrelli's 34.27%.

Editorial Prediction (May 25, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Maestrelli and Carboni promises to be a closely contested affair. Both players have distinct strengths that could influence the match's outcome. Maestrelli's superior performance under pressure and better second serve stats may give him an edge when critical points are at play.

However, Carboni's ability to return first serves more effectively and his higher breakpoint conversion rate cannot be overlooked. His slight edge in recent match wins further complicates the prediction.

Considering the statistical insights and historical precedents, the match is likely to be intensely competitive. Nonetheless, Maestrelli's experience against better-ranked opponents and his consistent performance under pressure might just tip the balance in his favor.

Therefore, Maestrelli is slightly more likely to emerge victorious in this encounter.